Korean Drug (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5,126

014570 Stock  KRW 4,560  50.00  1.08%   
Korean Drug's future price is the expected price of Korean Drug instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Korean Drug Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Korean Drug Backtesting, Korean Drug Valuation, Korean Drug Correlation, Korean Drug Hype Analysis, Korean Drug Volatility, Korean Drug History as well as Korean Drug Performance.
  
Please specify Korean Drug's target price for which you would like Korean Drug odds to be computed.

Korean Drug Target Price Odds to finish below 5,126

The tendency of Korean Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 4,560 90 days 4,560 
about 5.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Korean Drug to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 5.17 (This Korean Drug Co probability density function shows the probability of Korean Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Korean Drug has a beta of 0.0364. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Korean Drug average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Korean Drug Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Korean Drug Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Korean Drug Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Korean Drug

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Korean Drug. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,5594,5604,561
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,3534,3545,016
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,5674,5684,570
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,4644,5544,643
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Korean Drug. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Korean Drug's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Korean Drug's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Korean Drug.

Korean Drug Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Korean Drug is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Korean Drug's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Korean Drug Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Korean Drug within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
246.48
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

Korean Drug Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Korean Drug for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Korean Drug can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Korean Drug generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Korean Drug Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Korean Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Korean Drug's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Korean Drug's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments27.9 B

Korean Drug Technical Analysis

Korean Drug's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Korean Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Korean Drug Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Korean Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Korean Drug Predictive Forecast Models

Korean Drug's time-series forecasting models is one of many Korean Drug's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Korean Drug's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Korean Drug

Checking the ongoing alerts about Korean Drug for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Korean Drug help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Korean Drug generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Korean Stock

Korean Drug financial ratios help investors to determine whether Korean Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Korean with respect to the benefits of owning Korean Drug security.