JF Technology (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.5

0146 Stock   0.51  0.01  1.92%   
JF Technology's future price is the expected price of JF Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of JF Technology BHD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out JF Technology Backtesting, JF Technology Valuation, JF Technology Correlation, JF Technology Hype Analysis, JF Technology Volatility, JF Technology History as well as JF Technology Performance.
  
Please specify JF Technology's target price for which you would like JF Technology odds to be computed.

JF Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 0.5

The tendency of 0146 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.50  or more in 90 days
 0.51 90 days 0.50 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JF Technology to drop to  0.50  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This JF Technology BHD probability density function shows the probability of 0146 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JF Technology BHD price to stay between  0.50  and its current price of 0.51 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JF Technology BHD has a beta of -0.5. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding JF Technology are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, JF Technology BHD is likely to outperform the market. Additionally JF Technology BHD has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   JF Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for JF Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JF Technology BHD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.522.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.472.93
Details

JF Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JF Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JF Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JF Technology BHD, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JF Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.5
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

JF Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JF Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JF Technology BHD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JF Technology BHD generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
JF Technology BHD has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

JF Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 0146 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JF Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JF Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding956.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments84.3 M

JF Technology Technical Analysis

JF Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 0146 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JF Technology BHD. In general, you should focus on analyzing 0146 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

JF Technology Predictive Forecast Models

JF Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many JF Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JF Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about JF Technology BHD

Checking the ongoing alerts about JF Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JF Technology BHD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JF Technology BHD generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
JF Technology BHD has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

Other Information on Investing in 0146 Stock

JF Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether 0146 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 0146 with respect to the benefits of owning JF Technology security.