Semyung Electric (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4,633

017510 Stock  KRW 4,910  115.00  2.40%   
Semyung Electric's future price is the expected price of Semyung Electric instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Semyung Electric Machinery performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Semyung Electric Backtesting, Semyung Electric Valuation, Semyung Electric Correlation, Semyung Electric Hype Analysis, Semyung Electric Volatility, Semyung Electric History as well as Semyung Electric Performance.
  
Please specify Semyung Electric's target price for which you would like Semyung Electric odds to be computed.

Semyung Electric Target Price Odds to finish below 4,633

The tendency of Semyung Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 4,910 90 days 4,910 
about 8.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Semyung Electric to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 8.07 (This Semyung Electric Machinery probability density function shows the probability of Semyung Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Semyung Electric Machinery has a beta of -0.11. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Semyung Electric are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Semyung Electric Machinery is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Semyung Electric Machinery has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Semyung Electric Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Semyung Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Semyung Electric Mac. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,9064,9104,914
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,3784,3825,401
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,5504,5544,558
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,4374,9335,429
Details

Semyung Electric Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Semyung Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Semyung Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Semyung Electric Machinery, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Semyung Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
393.77
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Semyung Electric Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Semyung Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Semyung Electric Mac can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Semyung Electric Mac generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Semyung Electric Mac has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Semyung Electric Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Semyung Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Semyung Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Semyung Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.2 M
Dividends Paid1.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments32.1 B
Shares Float9.3 M

Semyung Electric Technical Analysis

Semyung Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Semyung Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Semyung Electric Machinery. In general, you should focus on analyzing Semyung Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Semyung Electric Predictive Forecast Models

Semyung Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many Semyung Electric's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Semyung Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Semyung Electric Mac

Checking the ongoing alerts about Semyung Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Semyung Electric Mac help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Semyung Electric Mac generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Semyung Electric Mac has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Semyung Stock

Semyung Electric financial ratios help investors to determine whether Semyung Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Semyung with respect to the benefits of owning Semyung Electric security.