Seoyon Topmetal (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3845.0

019770 Stock  KRW 3,845  40.00  1.03%   
Seoyon Topmetal's future price is the expected price of Seoyon Topmetal instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Seoyon Topmetal Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Seoyon Topmetal Backtesting, Seoyon Topmetal Valuation, Seoyon Topmetal Correlation, Seoyon Topmetal Hype Analysis, Seoyon Topmetal Volatility, Seoyon Topmetal History as well as Seoyon Topmetal Performance.
  
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Seoyon Topmetal Target Price Odds to finish over 3845.0

The tendency of Seoyon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3,845 90 days 3,845 
about 48.79
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seoyon Topmetal to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 48.79 (This Seoyon Topmetal Co probability density function shows the probability of Seoyon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Seoyon Topmetal Co has a beta of -0.14. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Seoyon Topmetal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Seoyon Topmetal Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Seoyon Topmetal Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Seoyon Topmetal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Seoyon Topmetal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seoyon Topmetal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,8433,8453,847
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,3623,3644,230
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,8983,9003,902
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,5793,7843,989
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Seoyon Topmetal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Seoyon Topmetal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Seoyon Topmetal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Seoyon Topmetal.

Seoyon Topmetal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seoyon Topmetal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seoyon Topmetal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seoyon Topmetal Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seoyon Topmetal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
170.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Seoyon Topmetal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seoyon Topmetal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seoyon Topmetal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Seoyon Topmetal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Seoyon Topmetal Co has accumulated about 587.86 M in cash with (1.21 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 58.74.
Roughly 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Seoyon Topmetal Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seoyon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seoyon Topmetal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seoyon Topmetal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments588.9 M

Seoyon Topmetal Technical Analysis

Seoyon Topmetal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seoyon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seoyon Topmetal Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seoyon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Seoyon Topmetal Predictive Forecast Models

Seoyon Topmetal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Seoyon Topmetal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Seoyon Topmetal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Seoyon Topmetal

Checking the ongoing alerts about Seoyon Topmetal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Seoyon Topmetal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Seoyon Topmetal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Seoyon Topmetal Co has accumulated about 587.86 M in cash with (1.21 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 58.74.
Roughly 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Seoyon Stock

Seoyon Topmetal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Seoyon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Seoyon with respect to the benefits of owning Seoyon Topmetal security.