Radiant Globaltech (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.42

0202 Stock   0.35  0.01  2.94%   
Radiant Globaltech's future price is the expected price of Radiant Globaltech instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Radiant Globaltech Bhd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Radiant Globaltech Backtesting, Radiant Globaltech Valuation, Radiant Globaltech Correlation, Radiant Globaltech Hype Analysis, Radiant Globaltech Volatility, Radiant Globaltech History as well as Radiant Globaltech Performance.
  
Please specify Radiant Globaltech's target price for which you would like Radiant Globaltech odds to be computed.

Radiant Globaltech Target Price Odds to finish over 0.42

The tendency of Radiant Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  0.42  or more in 90 days
 0.35 90 days 0.42 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Radiant Globaltech to move over  0.42  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Radiant Globaltech Bhd probability density function shows the probability of Radiant Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Radiant Globaltech Bhd price to stay between its current price of  0.35  and  0.42  at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.43 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Radiant Globaltech Bhd has a beta of -0.35. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Radiant Globaltech are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Radiant Globaltech Bhd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Radiant Globaltech Bhd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Radiant Globaltech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Radiant Globaltech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Radiant Globaltech Bhd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.352.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.292.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.362.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.320.340.35
Details

Radiant Globaltech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Radiant Globaltech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Radiant Globaltech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Radiant Globaltech Bhd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Radiant Globaltech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Radiant Globaltech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Radiant Globaltech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Radiant Globaltech Bhd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Radiant Globaltech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Radiant Globaltech has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Radiant Globaltech generates negative cash flow from operations

Radiant Globaltech Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Radiant Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Radiant Globaltech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Radiant Globaltech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding525.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments35 M

Radiant Globaltech Technical Analysis

Radiant Globaltech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Radiant Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Radiant Globaltech Bhd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Radiant Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Radiant Globaltech Predictive Forecast Models

Radiant Globaltech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Radiant Globaltech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Radiant Globaltech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Radiant Globaltech Bhd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Radiant Globaltech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Radiant Globaltech Bhd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Radiant Globaltech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Radiant Globaltech has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Radiant Globaltech generates negative cash flow from operations

Other Information on Investing in Radiant Stock

Radiant Globaltech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Radiant Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Radiant with respect to the benefits of owning Radiant Globaltech security.