Greatech Technology (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.09

0208 Stock   2.12  0.07  3.41%   
Greatech Technology's future price is the expected price of Greatech Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Greatech Technology Bhd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Greatech Technology Backtesting, Greatech Technology Valuation, Greatech Technology Correlation, Greatech Technology Hype Analysis, Greatech Technology Volatility, Greatech Technology History as well as Greatech Technology Performance.
  
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Greatech Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 2.09

The tendency of Greatech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  2.09  in 90 days
 2.12 90 days 2.09 
about 70.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Greatech Technology to stay above  2.09  in 90 days from now is about 70.49 (This Greatech Technology Bhd probability density function shows the probability of Greatech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Greatech Technology Bhd price to stay between  2.09  and its current price of 2.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Greatech Technology has a beta of 0.5. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Greatech Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Greatech Technology Bhd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Greatech Technology Bhd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Greatech Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Greatech Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Greatech Technology Bhd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.124.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.102.034.70
Details

Greatech Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Greatech Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Greatech Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Greatech Technology Bhd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Greatech Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.50
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Greatech Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Greatech Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Greatech Technology Bhd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Greatech Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Greatech Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Greatech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Greatech Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Greatech Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments320.4 M

Greatech Technology Technical Analysis

Greatech Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Greatech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Greatech Technology Bhd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Greatech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Greatech Technology Predictive Forecast Models

Greatech Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Greatech Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Greatech Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Greatech Technology Bhd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Greatech Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Greatech Technology Bhd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Greatech Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Greatech Stock

Greatech Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Greatech Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Greatech with respect to the benefits of owning Greatech Technology security.