Daou Tech (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15943.71

023590 Stock   18,270  180.00  0.98%   
Daou Tech's future price is the expected price of Daou Tech instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Daou Tech performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Daou Tech Backtesting, Daou Tech Valuation, Daou Tech Correlation, Daou Tech Hype Analysis, Daou Tech Volatility, Daou Tech History as well as Daou Tech Performance.
  
Please specify Daou Tech's target price for which you would like Daou Tech odds to be computed.

Daou Tech Target Price Odds to finish over 15943.71

The tendency of Daou Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  15,944  in 90 days
 18,270 90 days 15,944 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Daou Tech to stay above  15,944  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Daou Tech probability density function shows the probability of Daou Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Daou Tech price to stay between  15,944  and its current price of 18270.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Daou Tech has a beta of -0.0359. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Daou Tech are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Daou Tech is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Daou Tech has an alpha of 0.0058, implying that it can generate a 0.005815 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Daou Tech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Daou Tech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Daou Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18,26918,27018,271
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15,58015,58120,097
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18,41318,41318,414
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17,79318,18318,573
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Daou Tech. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Daou Tech's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Daou Tech's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Daou Tech.

Daou Tech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Daou Tech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Daou Tech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Daou Tech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Daou Tech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
331.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Daou Tech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Daou Tech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Daou Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Daou Tech generates negative cash flow from operations
About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Daou Tech Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Daou Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Daou Tech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Daou Tech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding43.3 M

Daou Tech Technical Analysis

Daou Tech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Daou Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Daou Tech. In general, you should focus on analyzing Daou Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Daou Tech Predictive Forecast Models

Daou Tech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Daou Tech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Daou Tech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Daou Tech

Checking the ongoing alerts about Daou Tech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Daou Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Daou Tech generates negative cash flow from operations
About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Daou Stock

Daou Tech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Daou Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Daou with respect to the benefits of owning Daou Tech security.