Dongil Steel (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1297.0

023790 Stock  KRW 1,187  15.00  1.28%   
Dongil Steel's future price is the expected price of Dongil Steel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dongil Steel Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dongil Steel Backtesting, Dongil Steel Valuation, Dongil Steel Correlation, Dongil Steel Hype Analysis, Dongil Steel Volatility, Dongil Steel History as well as Dongil Steel Performance.
  
Please specify Dongil Steel's target price for which you would like Dongil Steel odds to be computed.

Dongil Steel Target Price Odds to finish over 1297.0

The tendency of Dongil Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over W 1,297  or more in 90 days
 1,187 90 days 1,297 
about 11.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dongil Steel to move over W 1,297  or more in 90 days from now is about 11.57 (This Dongil Steel Co probability density function shows the probability of Dongil Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dongil Steel price to stay between its current price of W 1,187  and W 1,297  at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dongil Steel has a beta of 0.4. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Dongil Steel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dongil Steel Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dongil Steel Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Dongil Steel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dongil Steel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dongil Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,1861,1871,188
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,0681,2141,215
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,1741,1751,176
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,1501,1771,203
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dongil Steel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dongil Steel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dongil Steel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dongil Steel.

Dongil Steel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dongil Steel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dongil Steel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dongil Steel Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dongil Steel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
50.65
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Dongil Steel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dongil Steel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dongil Steel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dongil Steel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 34.36 B. Net Loss for the year was (25.11 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.73 B.
About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Dongil Steel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dongil Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dongil Steel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dongil Steel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.5 B

Dongil Steel Technical Analysis

Dongil Steel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dongil Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dongil Steel Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dongil Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dongil Steel Predictive Forecast Models

Dongil Steel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dongil Steel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dongil Steel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dongil Steel

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dongil Steel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dongil Steel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dongil Steel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 34.36 B. Net Loss for the year was (25.11 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.73 B.
About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Dongil Stock

Dongil Steel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dongil Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dongil with respect to the benefits of owning Dongil Steel security.