Daihan Pharmaceutical (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 28820.0

023910 Stock  KRW 26,200  200.00  0.77%   
Daihan Pharmaceutical's future price is the expected price of Daihan Pharmaceutical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Daihan Pharmaceutical CoLtd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Daihan Pharmaceutical Backtesting, Daihan Pharmaceutical Valuation, Daihan Pharmaceutical Correlation, Daihan Pharmaceutical Hype Analysis, Daihan Pharmaceutical Volatility, Daihan Pharmaceutical History as well as Daihan Pharmaceutical Performance.
  
Please specify Daihan Pharmaceutical's target price for which you would like Daihan Pharmaceutical odds to be computed.

Daihan Pharmaceutical Target Price Odds to finish over 28820.0

The tendency of Daihan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over W 28,820  or more in 90 days
 26,200 90 days 28,820 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Daihan Pharmaceutical to move over W 28,820  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Daihan Pharmaceutical CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of Daihan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Daihan Pharmaceutical price to stay between its current price of W 26,200  and W 28,820  at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.55 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Daihan Pharmaceutical CoLtd has a beta of -0.0838. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Daihan Pharmaceutical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Daihan Pharmaceutical CoLtd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Daihan Pharmaceutical CoLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Daihan Pharmaceutical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Daihan Pharmaceutical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Daihan Pharmaceutical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26,19926,20026,201
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25,52925,53028,820
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26,72926,73026,731
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25,94726,11726,287
Details

Daihan Pharmaceutical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Daihan Pharmaceutical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Daihan Pharmaceutical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Daihan Pharmaceutical CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Daihan Pharmaceutical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
493.87
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Daihan Pharmaceutical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Daihan Pharmaceutical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Daihan Pharmaceutical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Daihan Pharmaceutical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Daihan Pharmaceutical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Daihan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Daihan Pharmaceutical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Daihan Pharmaceutical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments96.4 B

Daihan Pharmaceutical Technical Analysis

Daihan Pharmaceutical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Daihan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Daihan Pharmaceutical CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Daihan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Daihan Pharmaceutical Predictive Forecast Models

Daihan Pharmaceutical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Daihan Pharmaceutical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Daihan Pharmaceutical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Daihan Pharmaceutical

Checking the ongoing alerts about Daihan Pharmaceutical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Daihan Pharmaceutical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Daihan Pharmaceutical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Daihan Stock

Daihan Pharmaceutical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Daihan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Daihan with respect to the benefits of owning Daihan Pharmaceutical security.