Industrial Bank (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14950.48

024110 Stock   14,800  40.00  0.27%   
Industrial Bank's future price is the expected price of Industrial Bank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Industrial Bank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Industrial Bank Backtesting, Industrial Bank Valuation, Industrial Bank Correlation, Industrial Bank Hype Analysis, Industrial Bank Volatility, Industrial Bank History as well as Industrial Bank Performance.
  
Please specify Industrial Bank's target price for which you would like Industrial Bank odds to be computed.

Industrial Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 14950.48

The tendency of Industrial Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  14,950  after 90 days
 14,800 90 days 14,950 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Industrial Bank to stay under  14,950  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Industrial Bank probability density function shows the probability of Industrial Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Industrial Bank price to stay between its current price of  14,800  and  14,950  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Industrial Bank has a beta of 0.17. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Industrial Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Industrial Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Industrial Bank has an alpha of 0.0906, implying that it can generate a 0.0906 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Industrial Bank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Industrial Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Industrial Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14,79914,80014,801
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14,45914,46016,280
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14,86614,86814,869
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13,95214,40714,861
Details

Industrial Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Industrial Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Industrial Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Industrial Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Industrial Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
310.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.0092

Industrial Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Industrial Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Industrial Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Industrial Bank generates negative cash flow from operations
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Industrial Bank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Industrial Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Industrial Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Industrial Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding744.3 M

Industrial Bank Technical Analysis

Industrial Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Industrial Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Industrial Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Industrial Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Industrial Bank Predictive Forecast Models

Industrial Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Industrial Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Industrial Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Industrial Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about Industrial Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Industrial Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Industrial Bank generates negative cash flow from operations
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Industrial Stock

Industrial Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Industrial Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Industrial with respect to the benefits of owning Industrial Bank security.