KPX Chemical (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 42,305

025000 Stock   43,850  450.00  1.04%   
KPX Chemical's future price is the expected price of KPX Chemical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of KPX Chemical performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out KPX Chemical Backtesting, KPX Chemical Valuation, KPX Chemical Correlation, KPX Chemical Hype Analysis, KPX Chemical Volatility, KPX Chemical History as well as KPX Chemical Performance.
  
Please specify KPX Chemical's target price for which you would like KPX Chemical odds to be computed.

KPX Chemical Target Price Odds to finish over 42,305

The tendency of KPX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 43,850 90 days 43,850 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KPX Chemical to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This KPX Chemical probability density function shows the probability of KPX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KPX Chemical has a beta of 0.0638. This suggests as returns on the market go up, KPX Chemical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KPX Chemical will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KPX Chemical has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   KPX Chemical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for KPX Chemical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KPX Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43,39943,40043,401
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35,15335,15447,740
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
42,03942,04042,041
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
42,86544,70446,543
Details

KPX Chemical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KPX Chemical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KPX Chemical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KPX Chemical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KPX Chemical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1,443
Ir
Information ratio -0.27

KPX Chemical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KPX Chemical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KPX Chemical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KPX Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

KPX Chemical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KPX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KPX Chemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KPX Chemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.8 M

KPX Chemical Technical Analysis

KPX Chemical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KPX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KPX Chemical. In general, you should focus on analyzing KPX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

KPX Chemical Predictive Forecast Models

KPX Chemical's time-series forecasting models is one of many KPX Chemical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KPX Chemical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about KPX Chemical

Checking the ongoing alerts about KPX Chemical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KPX Chemical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KPX Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in KPX Stock

KPX Chemical financial ratios help investors to determine whether KPX Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KPX with respect to the benefits of owning KPX Chemical security.