Namhae Chemical (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6197.4
| 025860 Stock | 6,260 20.00 0.32% |
Namhae |
Namhae Chemical Target Price Odds to finish over 6197.4
The tendency of Namhae Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 6,197 in 90 days |
| 6,260 | 90 days | 6,197 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Namhae Chemical to stay above 6,197 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Namhae Chemical probability density function shows the probability of Namhae Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Namhae Chemical price to stay between 6,197 and its current price of 6260.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Namhae Chemical has a beta of 0.14. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Namhae Chemical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Namhae Chemical will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Namhae Chemical has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Namhae Chemical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Namhae Chemical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Namhae Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Namhae Chemical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Namhae Chemical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Namhae Chemical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Namhae Chemical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Namhae Chemical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 136.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.25 |
Namhae Chemical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Namhae Chemical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Namhae Chemical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Namhae Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Namhae Chemical generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Namhae Chemical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Namhae Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Namhae Chemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Namhae Chemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.9 M |
Namhae Chemical Technical Analysis
Namhae Chemical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Namhae Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Namhae Chemical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Namhae Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Namhae Chemical Predictive Forecast Models
Namhae Chemical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Namhae Chemical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Namhae Chemical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Namhae Chemical
Checking the ongoing alerts about Namhae Chemical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Namhae Chemical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Namhae Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Namhae Chemical generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Namhae Stock
Namhae Chemical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Namhae Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Namhae with respect to the benefits of owning Namhae Chemical security.