Samsung Card (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 39750.0

029780 Stock   42,700  700.00  1.61%   
Samsung Card's future price is the expected price of Samsung Card instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Samsung Card Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Samsung Card Backtesting, Samsung Card Valuation, Samsung Card Correlation, Samsung Card Hype Analysis, Samsung Card Volatility, Samsung Card History as well as Samsung Card Performance.
  
Please specify Samsung Card's target price for which you would like Samsung Card odds to be computed.

Samsung Card Target Price Odds to finish below 39750.0

The tendency of Samsung Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  39,750  or more in 90 days
 42,700 90 days 39,750 
about 13.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Samsung Card to drop to  39,750  or more in 90 days from now is about 13.1 (This Samsung Card Co probability density function shows the probability of Samsung Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Samsung Card price to stay between  39,750  and its current price of 42700.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Samsung Card has a beta of 0.24. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Samsung Card average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Samsung Card Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Samsung Card Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Samsung Card Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Samsung Card

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Samsung Card. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42,69842,70042,702
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40,33840,33946,970
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
44,31744,31944,321
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
39,84641,68543,524
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Samsung Card. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Samsung Card's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Samsung Card's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Samsung Card.

Samsung Card Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Samsung Card is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Samsung Card's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Samsung Card Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Samsung Card within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0004
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
1,701
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Samsung Card Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Samsung Card for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Samsung Card can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Samsung Card generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Samsung Card generates negative cash flow from operations
Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Samsung Card Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Samsung Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Samsung Card's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Samsung Card's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding106.7 M

Samsung Card Technical Analysis

Samsung Card's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Samsung Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Samsung Card Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Samsung Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Samsung Card Predictive Forecast Models

Samsung Card's time-series forecasting models is one of many Samsung Card's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Samsung Card's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Samsung Card

Checking the ongoing alerts about Samsung Card for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Samsung Card help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Samsung Card generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Samsung Card generates negative cash flow from operations
Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Other Information on Investing in Samsung Stock

Samsung Card financial ratios help investors to determine whether Samsung Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Samsung with respect to the benefits of owning Samsung Card security.