Shinsegae Food (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31300.0
| 031440 Stock | 32,000 200.00 0.63% |
Shinsegae |
Shinsegae Food Target Price Odds to finish below 31300.0
The tendency of Shinsegae Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 31,300 or more in 90 days |
| 32,000 | 90 days | 31,300 | about 10.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shinsegae Food to drop to 31,300 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.96 (This Shinsegae Food probability density function shows the probability of Shinsegae Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shinsegae Food price to stay between 31,300 and its current price of 32000.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shinsegae Food has a beta of -0.0619. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Shinsegae Food are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Shinsegae Food is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Shinsegae Food has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Shinsegae Food Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Shinsegae Food
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shinsegae Food. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Shinsegae Food Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shinsegae Food is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shinsegae Food's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shinsegae Food, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shinsegae Food within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1,939 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Shinsegae Food Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shinsegae Food for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shinsegae Food can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shinsegae Food generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Shinsegae Food Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shinsegae Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shinsegae Food's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shinsegae Food's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.9 M |
Shinsegae Food Technical Analysis
Shinsegae Food's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shinsegae Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shinsegae Food. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shinsegae Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Shinsegae Food Predictive Forecast Models
Shinsegae Food's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shinsegae Food's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shinsegae Food's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Shinsegae Food
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shinsegae Food for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shinsegae Food help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Shinsegae Food generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Shinsegae Stock
Shinsegae Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shinsegae Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shinsegae with respect to the benefits of owning Shinsegae Food security.