TJ Media (Korea) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6297.51

032540 Stock  KRW 4,935  15.00  0.30%   
TJ Media's future price is the expected price of TJ Media instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TJ media Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out TJ Media Backtesting, TJ Media Valuation, TJ Media Correlation, TJ Media Hype Analysis, TJ Media Volatility, TJ Media History as well as TJ Media Performance.
  
Please specify TJ Media's target price for which you would like TJ Media odds to be computed.

TJ Media Target Price Odds to finish below 6297.51

The tendency of 032540 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under W 6,298  after 90 days
 4,935 90 days 6,298 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TJ Media to stay under W 6,298  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This TJ media Co probability density function shows the probability of 032540 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TJ media price to stay between its current price of W 4,935  and W 6,298  at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TJ media Co has a beta of -0.0361. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TJ Media are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TJ media Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TJ media Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   TJ Media Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TJ Media

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TJ media. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,9344,9354,936
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,5884,5905,428
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,1445,1455,146
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,5344,9915,449
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TJ Media. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TJ Media's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TJ Media's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TJ media.

TJ Media Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TJ Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TJ Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TJ media Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TJ Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
283.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

TJ Media Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TJ Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TJ media can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TJ media generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

TJ Media Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 032540 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TJ Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TJ Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments13.6 B

TJ Media Technical Analysis

TJ Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 032540 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TJ media Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing 032540 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TJ Media Predictive Forecast Models

TJ Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many TJ Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TJ Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TJ media

Checking the ongoing alerts about TJ Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TJ media help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TJ media generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in 032540 Stock

TJ Media financial ratios help investors to determine whether 032540 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 032540 with respect to the benefits of owning TJ Media security.