SAMJIN (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4136.25

032750 Stock  KRW 4,205  60.00  1.45%   
SAMJIN's future price is the expected price of SAMJIN instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SAMJIN Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SAMJIN Backtesting, SAMJIN Valuation, SAMJIN Correlation, SAMJIN Hype Analysis, SAMJIN Volatility, SAMJIN History as well as SAMJIN Performance.
  
Please specify SAMJIN's target price for which you would like SAMJIN odds to be computed.

SAMJIN Target Price Odds to finish below 4136.25

The tendency of SAMJIN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to W 4,136  or more in 90 days
 4,205 90 days 4,136 
about 16.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SAMJIN to drop to W 4,136  or more in 90 days from now is about 16.42 (This SAMJIN Co probability density function shows the probability of SAMJIN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SAMJIN price to stay between W 4,136  and its current price of W4205.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SAMJIN has a beta of 0.22. This suggests as returns on the market go up, SAMJIN average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SAMJIN Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SAMJIN Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SAMJIN Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SAMJIN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SAMJIN. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,2034,2054,207
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,6993,7004,626
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,0734,0754,076
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,0464,1314,216
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SAMJIN. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SAMJIN's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SAMJIN's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SAMJIN.

SAMJIN Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SAMJIN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SAMJIN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SAMJIN Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SAMJIN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
148.70
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

SAMJIN Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SAMJIN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SAMJIN can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SAMJIN generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SAMJIN Co has accumulated about 11.19 B in cash with (4.94 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 53.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

SAMJIN Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SAMJIN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SAMJIN's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SAMJIN's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments36.6 B

SAMJIN Technical Analysis

SAMJIN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SAMJIN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SAMJIN Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing SAMJIN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SAMJIN Predictive Forecast Models

SAMJIN's time-series forecasting models is one of many SAMJIN's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SAMJIN's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SAMJIN

Checking the ongoing alerts about SAMJIN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SAMJIN help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SAMJIN generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SAMJIN Co has accumulated about 11.19 B in cash with (4.94 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 53.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in SAMJIN Stock

SAMJIN financial ratios help investors to determine whether SAMJIN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SAMJIN with respect to the benefits of owning SAMJIN security.