Jahwa Electron (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12532.43

033240 Stock   12,310  490.00  3.83%   
Jahwa Electron's future price is the expected price of Jahwa Electron instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jahwa Electron performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jahwa Electron Backtesting, Jahwa Electron Valuation, Jahwa Electron Correlation, Jahwa Electron Hype Analysis, Jahwa Electron Volatility, Jahwa Electron History as well as Jahwa Electron Performance.
  
Please specify Jahwa Electron's target price for which you would like Jahwa Electron odds to be computed.

Jahwa Electron Target Price Odds to finish over 12532.43

The tendency of Jahwa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  12,532  or more in 90 days
 12,310 90 days 12,532 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jahwa Electron to move over  12,532  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Jahwa Electron probability density function shows the probability of Jahwa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jahwa Electron price to stay between its current price of  12,310  and  12,532  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jahwa Electron has a beta of -0.12. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jahwa Electron are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jahwa Electron is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jahwa Electron has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Jahwa Electron Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jahwa Electron

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jahwa Electron. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12,79712,80012,803
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12,41912,42214,080
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jahwa Electron. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jahwa Electron's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jahwa Electron's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jahwa Electron.

Jahwa Electron Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jahwa Electron is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jahwa Electron's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jahwa Electron, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jahwa Electron within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.68
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
2,331
Ir
Information ratio -0.27

Jahwa Electron Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jahwa Electron for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jahwa Electron can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jahwa Electron generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Jahwa Electron Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jahwa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jahwa Electron's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jahwa Electron's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.8 M

Jahwa Electron Technical Analysis

Jahwa Electron's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jahwa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jahwa Electron. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jahwa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jahwa Electron Predictive Forecast Models

Jahwa Electron's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jahwa Electron's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jahwa Electron's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jahwa Electron

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jahwa Electron for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jahwa Electron help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jahwa Electron generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Jahwa Stock

Jahwa Electron financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jahwa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jahwa with respect to the benefits of owning Jahwa Electron security.