Kakao Corp (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 36,006

035720 Stock   36,050  900.00  2.56%   
Kakao Corp's future price is the expected price of Kakao Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kakao Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kakao Corp Backtesting, Kakao Corp Valuation, Kakao Corp Correlation, Kakao Corp Hype Analysis, Kakao Corp Volatility, Kakao Corp History as well as Kakao Corp Performance.
  
Please specify Kakao Corp's target price for which you would like Kakao Corp odds to be computed.

Kakao Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 36,006

The tendency of Kakao Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 36,050 90 days 36,050 
about 56.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kakao Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 56.2 (This Kakao Corp probability density function shows the probability of Kakao Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kakao Corp has a beta of 0.37. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Kakao Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kakao Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kakao Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Kakao Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kakao Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kakao Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36,04836,05036,052
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30,30130,30339,655
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37,32837,33037,332
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33,42236,41439,406
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kakao Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kakao Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kakao Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kakao Corp.

Kakao Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kakao Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kakao Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kakao Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kakao Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
1,404
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Kakao Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kakao Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kakao Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kakao Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Kakao Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kakao Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kakao Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kakao Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding433.6 M

Kakao Corp Technical Analysis

Kakao Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kakao Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kakao Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kakao Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kakao Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Kakao Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kakao Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kakao Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kakao Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kakao Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kakao Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kakao Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Kakao Stock

Kakao Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kakao Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kakao with respect to the benefits of owning Kakao Corp security.