ABCO Electronics (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4,639

036010 Stock  KRW 4,500  115.00  2.49%   
ABCO Electronics' future price is the expected price of ABCO Electronics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ABCO Electronics Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ABCO Electronics Backtesting, ABCO Electronics Valuation, ABCO Electronics Correlation, ABCO Electronics Hype Analysis, ABCO Electronics Volatility, ABCO Electronics History as well as ABCO Electronics Performance.
  
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ABCO Electronics Target Price Odds to finish over 4,639

The tendency of ABCO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4,500 90 days 4,500 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ABCO Electronics to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This ABCO Electronics Co probability density function shows the probability of ABCO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ABCO Electronics Co has a beta of -0.0421. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ABCO Electronics are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ABCO Electronics Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ABCO Electronics Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ABCO Electronics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ABCO Electronics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ABCO Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,4974,5004,503
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,6873,6904,950
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,4094,4124,415
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,4904,6304,769
Details

ABCO Electronics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ABCO Electronics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ABCO Electronics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ABCO Electronics Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ABCO Electronics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
504.81
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

ABCO Electronics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ABCO Electronics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ABCO Electronics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ABCO Electronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ABCO Electronics has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 36.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

ABCO Electronics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ABCO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ABCO Electronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ABCO Electronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments52.3 B

ABCO Electronics Technical Analysis

ABCO Electronics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ABCO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ABCO Electronics Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing ABCO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ABCO Electronics Predictive Forecast Models

ABCO Electronics' time-series forecasting models is one of many ABCO Electronics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ABCO Electronics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ABCO Electronics

Checking the ongoing alerts about ABCO Electronics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ABCO Electronics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ABCO Electronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ABCO Electronics has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 36.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in ABCO Stock

ABCO Electronics financial ratios help investors to determine whether ABCO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ABCO with respect to the benefits of owning ABCO Electronics security.