Geumhwa Plant (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25,282

036190 Stock  KRW 25,550  100.00  0.39%   
Geumhwa Plant's future price is the expected price of Geumhwa Plant instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Geumhwa Plant Service performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Geumhwa Plant Backtesting, Geumhwa Plant Valuation, Geumhwa Plant Correlation, Geumhwa Plant Hype Analysis, Geumhwa Plant Volatility, Geumhwa Plant History as well as Geumhwa Plant Performance.
  
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Geumhwa Plant Target Price Odds to finish over 25,282

The tendency of Geumhwa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25,550 90 days 25,550 
over 95.99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Geumhwa Plant to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.99 (This Geumhwa Plant Service probability density function shows the probability of Geumhwa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Geumhwa Plant has a beta of 0.32. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Geumhwa Plant average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Geumhwa Plant Service will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Geumhwa Plant Service has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Geumhwa Plant Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Geumhwa Plant

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Geumhwa Plant Service. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25,54925,55025,551
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19,92819,92928,105
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24,65124,65324,654
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24,43726,63828,838
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Geumhwa Plant. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Geumhwa Plant's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Geumhwa Plant's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Geumhwa Plant Service.

Geumhwa Plant Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Geumhwa Plant is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Geumhwa Plant's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Geumhwa Plant Service, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Geumhwa Plant within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
891.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Geumhwa Plant Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Geumhwa Plant for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Geumhwa Plant Service can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Geumhwa Plant generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Geumhwa Plant Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Geumhwa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Geumhwa Plant's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Geumhwa Plant's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments129.8 B

Geumhwa Plant Technical Analysis

Geumhwa Plant's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Geumhwa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Geumhwa Plant Service. In general, you should focus on analyzing Geumhwa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Geumhwa Plant Predictive Forecast Models

Geumhwa Plant's time-series forecasting models is one of many Geumhwa Plant's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Geumhwa Plant's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Geumhwa Plant Service

Checking the ongoing alerts about Geumhwa Plant for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Geumhwa Plant Service help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Geumhwa Plant generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Geumhwa Stock

Geumhwa Plant financial ratios help investors to determine whether Geumhwa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Geumhwa with respect to the benefits of owning Geumhwa Plant security.