UNISEM (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6780.0

036200 Stock  KRW 5,920  140.00  2.31%   
UNISEM's future price is the expected price of UNISEM instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of UNISEM Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out UNISEM Backtesting, UNISEM Valuation, UNISEM Correlation, UNISEM Hype Analysis, UNISEM Volatility, UNISEM History as well as UNISEM Performance.
  
Please specify UNISEM's target price for which you would like UNISEM odds to be computed.

UNISEM Target Price Odds to finish over 6780.0

The tendency of UNISEM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over W 6,780  or more in 90 days
 5,920 90 days 6,780 
about 49.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of UNISEM to move over W 6,780  or more in 90 days from now is about 49.64 (This UNISEM Co probability density function shows the probability of UNISEM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of UNISEM price to stay between its current price of W 5,920  and W 6,780  at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.11 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon UNISEM has a beta of 0.0978. This suggests as returns on the market go up, UNISEM average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding UNISEM Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally UNISEM Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   UNISEM Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for UNISEM

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UNISEM. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,9175,9205,923
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5,3275,3306,512
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,8235,8275,830
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5,6695,9516,233
Details

UNISEM Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. UNISEM is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the UNISEM's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold UNISEM Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of UNISEM within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
615.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

UNISEM Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of UNISEM for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for UNISEM can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
UNISEM generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
UNISEM has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

UNISEM Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of UNISEM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential UNISEM's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. UNISEM's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.4 M
Dividends Paid2.4 B
Cash And Short Term Investments102.2 B
Shares Float20.5 M

UNISEM Technical Analysis

UNISEM's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. UNISEM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of UNISEM Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing UNISEM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

UNISEM Predictive Forecast Models

UNISEM's time-series forecasting models is one of many UNISEM's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary UNISEM's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about UNISEM

Checking the ongoing alerts about UNISEM for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for UNISEM help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
UNISEM generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
UNISEM has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in UNISEM Stock

UNISEM financial ratios help investors to determine whether UNISEM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in UNISEM with respect to the benefits of owning UNISEM security.