Sungdo Engineering (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4201.05

037350 Stock   4,300  40.00  0.92%   
Sungdo Engineering's future price is the expected price of Sungdo Engineering instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sungdo Engineering Construction performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sungdo Engineering Backtesting, Sungdo Engineering Valuation, Sungdo Engineering Correlation, Sungdo Engineering Hype Analysis, Sungdo Engineering Volatility, Sungdo Engineering History as well as Sungdo Engineering Performance.
  
Please specify Sungdo Engineering's target price for which you would like Sungdo Engineering odds to be computed.

Sungdo Engineering Target Price Odds to finish over 4201.05

The tendency of Sungdo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  4,201  in 90 days
 4,300 90 days 4,201 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sungdo Engineering to stay above  4,201  in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Sungdo Engineering Construction probability density function shows the probability of Sungdo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sungdo Engineering price to stay between  4,201  and its current price of 4300.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sungdo Engineering has a beta of 0.42. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Sungdo Engineering average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sungdo Engineering Construction will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sungdo Engineering Construction has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sungdo Engineering Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sungdo Engineering

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sungdo Engineering. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,2984,3004,302
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,8683,8704,730
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,1994,2014,203
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,3044,3794,454
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sungdo Engineering. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sungdo Engineering's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sungdo Engineering's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sungdo Engineering.

Sungdo Engineering Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sungdo Engineering is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sungdo Engineering's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sungdo Engineering Construction, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sungdo Engineering within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.48
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
382.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Sungdo Engineering Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sungdo Engineering for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sungdo Engineering can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sungdo Engineering generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Sungdo Engineering Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sungdo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sungdo Engineering's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sungdo Engineering's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments77.7 B

Sungdo Engineering Technical Analysis

Sungdo Engineering's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sungdo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sungdo Engineering Construction. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sungdo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sungdo Engineering Predictive Forecast Models

Sungdo Engineering's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sungdo Engineering's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sungdo Engineering's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sungdo Engineering

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sungdo Engineering for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sungdo Engineering help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sungdo Engineering generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Sungdo Stock

Sungdo Engineering financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sungdo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sungdo with respect to the benefits of owning Sungdo Engineering security.