STI (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15,816

039440 Stock  KRW 16,650  560.00  3.48%   
STI's future price is the expected price of STI instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of STI Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out STI Backtesting, STI Valuation, STI Correlation, STI Hype Analysis, STI Volatility, STI History as well as STI Performance.
  
Please specify STI's target price for which you would like STI odds to be computed.

STI Target Price Odds to finish below 15,816

The tendency of STI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 16,650 90 days 16,650 
about 6.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of STI to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 6.42 (This STI Co probability density function shows the probability of STI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon STI Co has a beta of -0.51. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding STI are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, STI Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally STI Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   STI Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for STI

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STI Co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16,08616,09016,094
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15,57815,58217,699
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15,48615,49015,494
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14,47016,59818,727
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as STI. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against STI's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, STI's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in STI Co.

STI Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. STI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the STI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold STI Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of STI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.51
σ
Overall volatility
2,949
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

STI Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of STI for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for STI Co can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
STI Co generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
STI Co has high historical volatility and very poor performance
STI Co has accumulated about 29.8 B in cash with (59.71 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 27.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

STI Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of STI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential STI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. STI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15 M
Dividends Paid2.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments31.5 B
Shares Float10.7 M

STI Technical Analysis

STI's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. STI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of STI Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing STI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

STI Predictive Forecast Models

STI's time-series forecasting models is one of many STI's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary STI's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about STI Co

Checking the ongoing alerts about STI for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for STI Co help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
STI Co generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
STI Co has high historical volatility and very poor performance
STI Co has accumulated about 29.8 B in cash with (59.71 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 27.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in STI Stock

STI financial ratios help investors to determine whether STI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in STI with respect to the benefits of owning STI security.