ICD (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4757.29

040910 Stock  KRW 5,100  245.00  5.05%   
ICD's future price is the expected price of ICD instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ICD Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ICD Backtesting, ICD Valuation, ICD Correlation, ICD Hype Analysis, ICD Volatility, ICD History as well as ICD Performance.
  
Please specify ICD's target price for which you would like ICD odds to be computed.

ICD Target Price Odds to finish below 4757.29

The tendency of ICD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to W 4,757  or more in 90 days
 5,100 90 days 4,757 
about 16.71
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ICD to drop to W 4,757  or more in 90 days from now is about 16.71 (This ICD Co probability density function shows the probability of ICD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ICD Co price to stay between W 4,757  and its current price of W5100.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ICD has a beta of 0.11. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ICD average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ICD Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ICD Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ICD Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ICD

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ICD Co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,0975,1005,103
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,4224,4255,610
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,2775,2795,282
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,2844,6615,039
Details

ICD Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ICD is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ICD's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ICD Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ICD within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.48
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
766.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

ICD Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ICD for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ICD Co can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ICD Co generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

ICD Technical Analysis

ICD's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ICD Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ICD Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing ICD Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ICD Predictive Forecast Models

ICD's time-series forecasting models is one of many ICD's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ICD's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ICD Co

Checking the ongoing alerts about ICD for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ICD Co help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ICD Co generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in ICD Stock

ICD financial ratios help investors to determine whether ICD Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ICD with respect to the benefits of owning ICD security.