InBody CoLtd (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23000.0

041830 Stock  KRW 22,850  350.00  1.56%   
InBody CoLtd's future price is the expected price of InBody CoLtd instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of InBody CoLtd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out InBody CoLtd Backtesting, InBody CoLtd Valuation, InBody CoLtd Correlation, InBody CoLtd Hype Analysis, InBody CoLtd Volatility, InBody CoLtd History as well as InBody CoLtd Performance.
  
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InBody CoLtd Target Price Odds to finish below 23000.0

The tendency of InBody Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under W 23,000  after 90 days
 22,850 90 days 23,000 
about 24.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of InBody CoLtd to stay under W 23,000  after 90 days from now is about 24.33 (This InBody CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of InBody Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of InBody CoLtd price to stay between its current price of W 22,850  and W 23,000  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon InBody CoLtd has a beta of -0.36. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding InBody CoLtd are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, InBody CoLtd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally InBody CoLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   InBody CoLtd Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for InBody CoLtd

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as InBody CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22,84822,85022,852
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19,44419,44625,135
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23,10223,10423,106
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21,44423,24225,040
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as InBody CoLtd. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against InBody CoLtd's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, InBody CoLtd's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in InBody CoLtd.

InBody CoLtd Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. InBody CoLtd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the InBody CoLtd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold InBody CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of InBody CoLtd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.36
σ
Overall volatility
916.84
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

InBody CoLtd Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of InBody CoLtd for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for InBody CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
InBody CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

InBody CoLtd Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of InBody Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential InBody CoLtd's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. InBody CoLtd's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13 M
Cash And Short Term Investments71.4 B

InBody CoLtd Technical Analysis

InBody CoLtd's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. InBody Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of InBody CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing InBody Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

InBody CoLtd Predictive Forecast Models

InBody CoLtd's time-series forecasting models is one of many InBody CoLtd's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary InBody CoLtd's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about InBody CoLtd

Checking the ongoing alerts about InBody CoLtd for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for InBody CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
InBody CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in InBody Stock

InBody CoLtd financial ratios help investors to determine whether InBody Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in InBody with respect to the benefits of owning InBody CoLtd security.