Cafe24 Corp (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 30426.01
| 042000 Stock | KRW 33,150 1,350 3.91% |
Cafe24 |
Cafe24 Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 30426.01
The tendency of Cafe24 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to W 30,426 or more in 90 days |
| 33,150 | 90 days | 30,426 | about 61.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cafe24 Corp to drop to W 30,426 or more in 90 days from now is about 61.49 (This Cafe24 Corp probability density function shows the probability of Cafe24 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cafe24 Corp price to stay between W 30,426 and its current price of W33150.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cafe24 Corp has a beta of -0.17. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Cafe24 Corp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Cafe24 Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cafe24 Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cafe24 Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cafe24 Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cafe24 Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cafe24 Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cafe24 Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cafe24 Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cafe24 Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cafe24 Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3,557 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Cafe24 Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cafe24 Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cafe24 Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cafe24 Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 276.27 B. Net Loss for the year was (18.05 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 220.13 B. | |
| About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Cafe24 Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cafe24 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cafe24 Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cafe24 Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 62.5 B |
Cafe24 Corp Technical Analysis
Cafe24 Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cafe24 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cafe24 Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cafe24 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cafe24 Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Cafe24 Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cafe24 Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cafe24 Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cafe24 Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cafe24 Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cafe24 Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cafe24 Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 276.27 B. Net Loss for the year was (18.05 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 220.13 B. | |
| About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Cafe24 Stock
Cafe24 Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cafe24 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cafe24 with respect to the benefits of owning Cafe24 Corp security.