Total Soft (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4635.0

045340 Stock  KRW 4,710  115.00  2.50%   
Total Soft's future price is the expected price of Total Soft instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Total Soft Bank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Total Soft Backtesting, Total Soft Valuation, Total Soft Correlation, Total Soft Hype Analysis, Total Soft Volatility, Total Soft History as well as Total Soft Performance.
  
Please specify Total Soft's target price for which you would like Total Soft odds to be computed.

Total Soft Target Price Odds to finish below 4635.0

The tendency of Total Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to W 4,635  or more in 90 days
 4,710 90 days 4,635 
about 15.86
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Total Soft to drop to W 4,635  or more in 90 days from now is about 15.86 (This Total Soft Bank probability density function shows the probability of Total Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Total Soft Bank price to stay between W 4,635  and its current price of W4710.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Total Soft has a beta of 0.38. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Total Soft average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Total Soft Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Total Soft Bank has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Total Soft Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Total Soft

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Total Soft Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,7054,7104,715
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,1194,1235,181
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,5934,5984,602
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,0625,1276,193
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Total Soft. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Total Soft's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Total Soft's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Total Soft Bank.

Total Soft Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Total Soft is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Total Soft's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Total Soft Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Total Soft within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
363.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Total Soft Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Total Soft for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Total Soft Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Total Soft Bank had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Total Soft Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Total Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Total Soft's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Total Soft's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments12.3 B

Total Soft Technical Analysis

Total Soft's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Total Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Total Soft Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Total Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Total Soft Predictive Forecast Models

Total Soft's time-series forecasting models is one of many Total Soft's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Total Soft's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Total Soft Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about Total Soft for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Total Soft Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Total Soft Bank had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Total Stock

Total Soft financial ratios help investors to determine whether Total Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Total with respect to the benefits of owning Total Soft security.