Korea Aerospace (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 49,842
| 047810 Stock | 55,300 2,400 4.54% |
Korea |
Korea Aerospace Target Price Odds to finish below 49,842
The tendency of Korea Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 55,300 | 90 days | 55,300 | about 36.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Korea Aerospace to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 36.47 (This Korea Aerospace Industries probability density function shows the probability of Korea Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Korea Aerospace has a beta of 0.54. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Korea Aerospace average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Korea Aerospace Industries will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Korea Aerospace Industries has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Korea Aerospace Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Korea Aerospace
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Korea Aerospace Indu. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Korea Aerospace Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Korea Aerospace is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Korea Aerospace's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Korea Aerospace Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Korea Aerospace within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5,009 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Korea Aerospace Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Korea Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Korea Aerospace's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Korea Aerospace's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 97.5 M |
Korea Aerospace Technical Analysis
Korea Aerospace's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Korea Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Korea Aerospace Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing Korea Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Korea Aerospace Predictive Forecast Models
Korea Aerospace's time-series forecasting models is one of many Korea Aerospace's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Korea Aerospace's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Korea Aerospace in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Korea Aerospace's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Korea Aerospace options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Korea Stock
Korea Aerospace financial ratios help investors to determine whether Korea Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Korea with respect to the benefits of owning Korea Aerospace security.