Daedong Steel (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3547.25

048470 Stock   3,345  175.00  4.97%   
Daedong Steel's future price is the expected price of Daedong Steel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Daedong Steel Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Daedong Steel Backtesting, Daedong Steel Valuation, Daedong Steel Correlation, Daedong Steel Hype Analysis, Daedong Steel Volatility, Daedong Steel History as well as Daedong Steel Performance.
  
Please specify Daedong Steel's target price for which you would like Daedong Steel odds to be computed.

Daedong Steel Target Price Odds to finish below 3547.25

The tendency of Daedong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  3,547  after 90 days
 3,345 90 days 3,547 
about 16.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Daedong Steel to stay under  3,547  after 90 days from now is about 16.75 (This Daedong Steel Co probability density function shows the probability of Daedong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Daedong Steel price to stay between its current price of  3,345  and  3,547  at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Daedong Steel has a beta of 0.0479. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Daedong Steel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Daedong Steel Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Daedong Steel Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Daedong Steel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Daedong Steel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Daedong Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,3433,3453,347
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,1943,1963,680
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,3913,3933,395
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,2783,4233,569
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Daedong Steel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Daedong Steel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Daedong Steel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Daedong Steel.

Daedong Steel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Daedong Steel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Daedong Steel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Daedong Steel Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Daedong Steel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
213.70
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Daedong Steel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Daedong Steel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Daedong Steel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Daedong Steel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Daedong Steel Co has accumulated about 10.19 B in cash with (13 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Daedong Steel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Daedong Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Daedong Steel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Daedong Steel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments15.1 B

Daedong Steel Technical Analysis

Daedong Steel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Daedong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Daedong Steel Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Daedong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Daedong Steel Predictive Forecast Models

Daedong Steel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Daedong Steel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Daedong Steel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Daedong Steel

Checking the ongoing alerts about Daedong Steel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Daedong Steel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Daedong Steel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Daedong Steel Co has accumulated about 10.19 B in cash with (13 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Daedong Stock

Daedong Steel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Daedong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Daedong with respect to the benefits of owning Daedong Steel security.