INtRON Biotechnology (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5650.0
| 048530 Stock | KRW 5,440 110.00 1.98% |
INtRON |
INtRON Biotechnology Target Price Odds to finish below 5650.0
The tendency of INtRON Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under W 5,650 after 90 days |
| 5,440 | 90 days | 5,650 | about 15.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of INtRON Biotechnology to stay under W 5,650 after 90 days from now is about 15.5 (This iNtRON Biotechnology probability density function shows the probability of INtRON Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of iNtRON Biotechnology price to stay between its current price of W 5,440 and W 5,650 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon INtRON Biotechnology has a beta of 0.0955. This suggests as returns on the market go up, INtRON Biotechnology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding iNtRON Biotechnology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally INtRON Biotechnology has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. INtRON Biotechnology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for INtRON Biotechnology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iNtRON Biotechnology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.INtRON Biotechnology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. INtRON Biotechnology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the INtRON Biotechnology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold iNtRON Biotechnology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of INtRON Biotechnology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 224.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
INtRON Biotechnology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of INtRON Biotechnology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for iNtRON Biotechnology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| iNtRON Biotechnology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 16.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
INtRON Biotechnology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of INtRON Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential INtRON Biotechnology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. INtRON Biotechnology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 83.5 B | |
| Shares Float | 26.7 M |
INtRON Biotechnology Technical Analysis
INtRON Biotechnology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. INtRON Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of iNtRON Biotechnology. In general, you should focus on analyzing INtRON Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
INtRON Biotechnology Predictive Forecast Models
INtRON Biotechnology's time-series forecasting models is one of many INtRON Biotechnology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary INtRON Biotechnology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about iNtRON Biotechnology
Checking the ongoing alerts about INtRON Biotechnology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for iNtRON Biotechnology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| iNtRON Biotechnology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 16.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in INtRON Stock
INtRON Biotechnology financial ratios help investors to determine whether INtRON Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INtRON with respect to the benefits of owning INtRON Biotechnology security.