SOOSAN INT (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8710.0

050960 Stock  KRW 20,600  4,740  29.89%   
SOOSAN INT's future price is the expected price of SOOSAN INT instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SOOSAN INT Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SOOSAN INT Backtesting, SOOSAN INT Valuation, SOOSAN INT Correlation, SOOSAN INT Hype Analysis, SOOSAN INT Volatility, SOOSAN INT History as well as SOOSAN INT Performance.
  
Please specify SOOSAN INT's target price for which you would like SOOSAN INT odds to be computed.

SOOSAN INT Target Price Odds to finish below 8710.0

The tendency of SOOSAN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to W 8,710  or more in 90 days
 20,600 90 days 8,710 
about 21.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SOOSAN INT to drop to W 8,710  or more in 90 days from now is about 21.05 (This SOOSAN INT Co probability density function shows the probability of SOOSAN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SOOSAN INT price to stay between W 8,710  and its current price of W20600.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SOOSAN INT Co has a beta of -0.31. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SOOSAN INT are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SOOSAN INT Co is likely to outperform the market. Moreover SOOSAN INT Co has an alpha of 1.2989, implying that it can generate a 1.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SOOSAN INT Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SOOSAN INT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SOOSAN INT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20,59320,60020,607
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17,55817,56522,660
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23,74023,74723,755
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9,34316,22023,097
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SOOSAN INT. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SOOSAN INT's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SOOSAN INT's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SOOSAN INT.

SOOSAN INT Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SOOSAN INT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SOOSAN INT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SOOSAN INT Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SOOSAN INT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.30
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.31
σ
Overall volatility
1,658
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

SOOSAN INT Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SOOSAN INT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SOOSAN INT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SOOSAN INT is way too risky over 90 days horizon
SOOSAN INT appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

SOOSAN INT Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SOOSAN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SOOSAN INT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SOOSAN INT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments18.8 B

SOOSAN INT Technical Analysis

SOOSAN INT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SOOSAN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SOOSAN INT Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing SOOSAN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SOOSAN INT Predictive Forecast Models

SOOSAN INT's time-series forecasting models is one of many SOOSAN INT's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SOOSAN INT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SOOSAN INT

Checking the ongoing alerts about SOOSAN INT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SOOSAN INT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SOOSAN INT is way too risky over 90 days horizon
SOOSAN INT appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in SOOSAN Stock

SOOSAN INT financial ratios help investors to determine whether SOOSAN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SOOSAN with respect to the benefits of owning SOOSAN INT security.