Chin Yang (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2350.0

051630 Stock   2,215  45.00  2.07%   
Chin Yang's future price is the expected price of Chin Yang instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Chin Yang Chemical performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Chin Yang Backtesting, Chin Yang Valuation, Chin Yang Correlation, Chin Yang Hype Analysis, Chin Yang Volatility, Chin Yang History as well as Chin Yang Performance.
  
Please specify Chin Yang's target price for which you would like Chin Yang odds to be computed.

Chin Yang Target Price Odds to finish over 2350.0

The tendency of Chin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  2,350  or more in 90 days
 2,215 90 days 2,350 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chin Yang to move over  2,350  or more in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Chin Yang Chemical probability density function shows the probability of Chin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chin Yang Chemical price to stay between its current price of  2,215  and  2,350  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.61 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Chin Yang Chemical has a beta of -0.58. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Chin Yang are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Chin Yang Chemical is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Chin Yang Chemical has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Chin Yang Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Chin Yang

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chin Yang Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,2122,2152,218
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,0192,0212,436
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,8011,8031,806
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,0322,4942,955
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Chin Yang. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Chin Yang's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Chin Yang's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Chin Yang Chemical.

Chin Yang Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chin Yang is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chin Yang's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chin Yang Chemical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chin Yang within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.58
σ
Overall volatility
167.77
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Chin Yang Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chin Yang for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chin Yang Chemical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Chin Yang Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Chin Yang Technical Analysis

Chin Yang's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chin Yang Chemical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Chin Yang Predictive Forecast Models

Chin Yang's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chin Yang's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chin Yang's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Chin Yang Chemical

Checking the ongoing alerts about Chin Yang for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chin Yang Chemical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Chin Yang Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Chin Stock

Chin Yang financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chin with respect to the benefits of owning Chin Yang security.