LG Chem (Korea) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 202245.0

051915 Stock   208,500  4,000  1.88%   
LG Chem's future price is the expected price of LG Chem instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of LG Chem performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out LG Chem Backtesting, LG Chem Valuation, LG Chem Correlation, LG Chem Hype Analysis, LG Chem Volatility, LG Chem History as well as LG Chem Performance.
  
Please specify LG Chem's target price for which you would like LG Chem odds to be computed.

LG Chem Target Price Odds to finish over 202245.0

The tendency of 051915 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  202,245  in 90 days
 208,500 90 days 202,245 
about 83.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LG Chem to stay above  202,245  in 90 days from now is about 83.08 (This LG Chem probability density function shows the probability of 051915 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LG Chem price to stay between  202,245  and its current price of 208500.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LG Chem has a beta of -0.2. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding LG Chem are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, LG Chem is likely to outperform the market. Additionally LG Chem has an alpha of 0.1339, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   LG Chem Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for LG Chem

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LG Chem. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
208,497208,500208,503
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
179,463179,466229,350
Details

LG Chem Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LG Chem is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LG Chem's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LG Chem, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LG Chem within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.2
σ
Overall volatility
16,126
Ir
Information ratio -0.0033

LG Chem Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LG Chem for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LG Chem can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LG Chem generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

LG Chem Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 051915 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LG Chem's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LG Chem's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding70.2 M

LG Chem Technical Analysis

LG Chem's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 051915 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LG Chem. In general, you should focus on analyzing 051915 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

LG Chem Predictive Forecast Models

LG Chem's time-series forecasting models is one of many LG Chem's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LG Chem's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about LG Chem

Checking the ongoing alerts about LG Chem for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LG Chem help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LG Chem generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 051915 Stock

LG Chem financial ratios help investors to determine whether 051915 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 051915 with respect to the benefits of owning LG Chem security.