KMH Hitech (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 906.44
| 052900 Stock | KRW 908.00 34.00 3.89% |
KMH |
KMH Hitech Target Price Odds to finish below 906.44
The tendency of KMH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to W 906.44 or more in 90 days |
| 908.00 | 90 days | 906.44 | about 9.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KMH Hitech to drop to W 906.44 or more in 90 days from now is about 9.1 (This KMH Hitech Co probability density function shows the probability of KMH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KMH Hitech price to stay between W 906.44 and its current price of W908.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KMH Hitech has a beta of 0.0607. This suggests as returns on the market go up, KMH Hitech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KMH Hitech Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KMH Hitech Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. KMH Hitech Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for KMH Hitech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KMH Hitech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KMH Hitech Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KMH Hitech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KMH Hitech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KMH Hitech Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KMH Hitech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 57.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
KMH Hitech Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KMH Hitech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KMH Hitech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KMH Hitech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 20.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
KMH Hitech Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KMH Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KMH Hitech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KMH Hitech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 46.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.5 B |
KMH Hitech Technical Analysis
KMH Hitech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KMH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KMH Hitech Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing KMH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KMH Hitech Predictive Forecast Models
KMH Hitech's time-series forecasting models is one of many KMH Hitech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KMH Hitech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KMH Hitech
Checking the ongoing alerts about KMH Hitech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KMH Hitech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KMH Hitech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 20.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in KMH Stock
KMH Hitech financial ratios help investors to determine whether KMH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KMH with respect to the benefits of owning KMH Hitech security.