APS Holdings (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5,815

054620 Stock  KRW 5,510  60.00  1.10%   
APS Holdings' future price is the expected price of APS Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of APS Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out APS Holdings Backtesting, APS Holdings Valuation, APS Holdings Correlation, APS Holdings Hype Analysis, APS Holdings Volatility, APS Holdings History as well as APS Holdings Performance.
  
Please specify APS Holdings' target price for which you would like APS Holdings odds to be computed.

APS Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 5,815

The tendency of APS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 5,510 90 days 5,510 
about 21.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of APS Holdings to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 21.49 (This APS Holdings probability density function shows the probability of APS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon APS Holdings has a beta of -0.0996. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding APS Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, APS Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally APS Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   APS Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for APS Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as APS Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,4485,4505,452
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,6984,7005,995
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,4905,4935,495
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5,2775,6896,101
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as APS Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against APS Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, APS Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in APS Holdings.

APS Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. APS Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the APS Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold APS Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of APS Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
331.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

APS Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of APS Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for APS Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
APS Holdings has accumulated about 47.7 B in cash with (1.57 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

APS Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of APS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential APS Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. APS Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments72.2 B

APS Holdings Technical Analysis

APS Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. APS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of APS Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing APS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

APS Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

APS Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many APS Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary APS Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about APS Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about APS Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for APS Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
APS Holdings has accumulated about 47.7 B in cash with (1.57 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in APS Stock

APS Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether APS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in APS with respect to the benefits of owning APS Holdings security.