EXA EC (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 723.0

054940 Stock  KRW 723.00  7.00  0.96%   
EXA EC's future price is the expected price of EXA EC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of EXA EC Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out EXA EC Backtesting, EXA EC Valuation, EXA EC Correlation, EXA EC Hype Analysis, EXA EC Volatility, EXA EC History as well as EXA EC Performance.
  
Please specify EXA EC's target price for which you would like EXA EC odds to be computed.

EXA EC Target Price Odds to finish over 723.0

The tendency of EXA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 723.00 90 days 723.00 
about 85.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EXA EC to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 85.87 (This EXA EC Inc probability density function shows the probability of EXA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon EXA EC Inc has a beta of -0.19. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding EXA EC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, EXA EC Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally EXA EC Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   EXA EC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for EXA EC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EXA EC Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
721.12723.00724.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
615.52617.40795.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
718.21720.09721.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
692.51740.83789.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as EXA EC. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against EXA EC's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, EXA EC's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in EXA EC Inc.

EXA EC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EXA EC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EXA EC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EXA EC Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EXA EC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
32.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

EXA EC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EXA EC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EXA EC Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
EXA EC Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 220.81 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.7 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 20.17 B.
EXA EC Inc has accumulated about 10.64 B in cash with (12.44 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 536.4.
Roughly 19.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

EXA EC Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EXA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential EXA EC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EXA EC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding33.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments16.7 B

EXA EC Technical Analysis

EXA EC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EXA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EXA EC Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing EXA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

EXA EC Predictive Forecast Models

EXA EC's time-series forecasting models is one of many EXA EC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EXA EC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about EXA EC Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about EXA EC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for EXA EC Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
EXA EC Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 220.81 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.7 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 20.17 B.
EXA EC Inc has accumulated about 10.64 B in cash with (12.44 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 536.4.
Roughly 19.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in EXA Stock

EXA EC financial ratios help investors to determine whether EXA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EXA with respect to the benefits of owning EXA EC security.