NHN KCP (Korea) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7074.44

060250 Stock  KRW 7,470  170.00  2.33%   
NHN KCP's future price is the expected price of NHN KCP instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NHN KCP Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NHN KCP Backtesting, NHN KCP Valuation, NHN KCP Correlation, NHN KCP Hype Analysis, NHN KCP Volatility, NHN KCP History as well as NHN KCP Performance.
  
Please specify NHN KCP's target price for which you would like NHN KCP odds to be computed.

NHN KCP Target Price Odds to finish below 7074.44

The tendency of NHN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to W 7,074  or more in 90 days
 7,470 90 days 7,074 
about 10.23
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NHN KCP to drop to W 7,074  or more in 90 days from now is about 10.23 (This NHN KCP Corp probability density function shows the probability of NHN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NHN KCP Corp price to stay between W 7,074  and its current price of W7470.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NHN KCP Corp has a beta of -0.37. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NHN KCP are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NHN KCP Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NHN KCP Corp has an alpha of 0.0327, implying that it can generate a 0.0327 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   NHN KCP Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NHN KCP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NHN KCP Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7,4687,4707,472
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6,1996,2018,217
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7,7107,7127,714
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7,1887,3537,519
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NHN KCP. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NHN KCP's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NHN KCP's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NHN KCP Corp.

NHN KCP Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NHN KCP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NHN KCP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NHN KCP Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NHN KCP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.37
σ
Overall volatility
244.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

NHN KCP Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NHN KCP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NHN KCP Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NHN KCP Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 53.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

NHN KCP Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NHN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NHN KCP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NHN KCP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding38.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments204.7 B

NHN KCP Technical Analysis

NHN KCP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NHN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NHN KCP Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing NHN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NHN KCP Predictive Forecast Models

NHN KCP's time-series forecasting models is one of many NHN KCP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NHN KCP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NHN KCP Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about NHN KCP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NHN KCP Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NHN KCP Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 53.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in NHN Stock

NHN KCP financial ratios help investors to determine whether NHN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NHN with respect to the benefits of owning NHN KCP security.