KHVATEC CoLtd (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8109.12

060720 Stock  KRW 8,250  250.00  2.94%   
KHVATEC CoLtd's future price is the expected price of KHVATEC CoLtd instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of KHVATEC CoLtd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out KHVATEC CoLtd Backtesting, KHVATEC CoLtd Valuation, KHVATEC CoLtd Correlation, KHVATEC CoLtd Hype Analysis, KHVATEC CoLtd Volatility, KHVATEC CoLtd History as well as KHVATEC CoLtd Performance.
  
Please specify KHVATEC CoLtd's target price for which you would like KHVATEC CoLtd odds to be computed.

KHVATEC CoLtd Target Price Odds to finish over 8109.12

The tendency of KHVATEC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above W 8,109  in 90 days
 8,250 90 days 8,109 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KHVATEC CoLtd to stay above W 8,109  in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This KHVATEC CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of KHVATEC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KHVATEC CoLtd price to stay between W 8,109  and its current price of W8250.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KHVATEC CoLtd has a beta of 0.0054. This suggests as returns on the market go up, KHVATEC CoLtd average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KHVATEC CoLtd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KHVATEC CoLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   KHVATEC CoLtd Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for KHVATEC CoLtd

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KHVATEC CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8,2488,2508,252
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7,2177,2199,075
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8,1078,1098,111
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8,1648,5408,916
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as KHVATEC CoLtd. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against KHVATEC CoLtd's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, KHVATEC CoLtd's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in KHVATEC CoLtd.

KHVATEC CoLtd Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KHVATEC CoLtd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KHVATEC CoLtd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KHVATEC CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KHVATEC CoLtd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.47
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
822.81
Ir
Information ratio -0.31

KHVATEC CoLtd Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KHVATEC CoLtd for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KHVATEC CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KHVATEC CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

KHVATEC CoLtd Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KHVATEC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KHVATEC CoLtd's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KHVATEC CoLtd's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments129.9 B

KHVATEC CoLtd Technical Analysis

KHVATEC CoLtd's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KHVATEC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KHVATEC CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing KHVATEC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

KHVATEC CoLtd Predictive Forecast Models

KHVATEC CoLtd's time-series forecasting models is one of many KHVATEC CoLtd's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KHVATEC CoLtd's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about KHVATEC CoLtd

Checking the ongoing alerts about KHVATEC CoLtd for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KHVATEC CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KHVATEC CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in KHVATEC Stock

KHVATEC CoLtd financial ratios help investors to determine whether KHVATEC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KHVATEC with respect to the benefits of owning KHVATEC CoLtd security.