INTEKPLUS (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9740.0

064290 Stock  KRW 9,740  520.00  5.64%   
INTEKPLUS's future price is the expected price of INTEKPLUS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of INTEKPLUS Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out INTEKPLUS Backtesting, INTEKPLUS Valuation, INTEKPLUS Correlation, INTEKPLUS Hype Analysis, INTEKPLUS Volatility, INTEKPLUS History as well as INTEKPLUS Performance.
  
Please specify INTEKPLUS's target price for which you would like INTEKPLUS odds to be computed.

INTEKPLUS Target Price Odds to finish over 9740.0

The tendency of INTEKPLUS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9,740 90 days 9,740 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of INTEKPLUS to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This INTEKPLUS Co probability density function shows the probability of INTEKPLUS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon INTEKPLUS Co has a beta of -0.18. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding INTEKPLUS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, INTEKPLUS Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally INTEKPLUS Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   INTEKPLUS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for INTEKPLUS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as INTEKPLUS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9,7379,7409,743
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9,5719,57410,714
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9,1269,1299,132
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8,78410,10811,433
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as INTEKPLUS. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against INTEKPLUS's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, INTEKPLUS's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in INTEKPLUS.

INTEKPLUS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. INTEKPLUS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the INTEKPLUS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold INTEKPLUS Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of INTEKPLUS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.76
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.18
σ
Overall volatility
1,995
Ir
Information ratio -0.26

INTEKPLUS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of INTEKPLUS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for INTEKPLUS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
INTEKPLUS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
INTEKPLUS has high historical volatility and very poor performance
INTEKPLUS Co has accumulated about 14.21 B in cash with (833.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 687.42.
Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

INTEKPLUS Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of INTEKPLUS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential INTEKPLUS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. INTEKPLUS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments14.2 B

INTEKPLUS Technical Analysis

INTEKPLUS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. INTEKPLUS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of INTEKPLUS Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing INTEKPLUS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

INTEKPLUS Predictive Forecast Models

INTEKPLUS's time-series forecasting models is one of many INTEKPLUS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary INTEKPLUS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about INTEKPLUS

Checking the ongoing alerts about INTEKPLUS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for INTEKPLUS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
INTEKPLUS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
INTEKPLUS has high historical volatility and very poor performance
INTEKPLUS Co has accumulated about 14.21 B in cash with (833.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 687.42.
Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in INTEKPLUS Stock

INTEKPLUS financial ratios help investors to determine whether INTEKPLUS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INTEKPLUS with respect to the benefits of owning INTEKPLUS security.