AnterogenCoLtd (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15218.92

065660 Stock  KRW 15,230  540.00  3.42%   
AnterogenCoLtd's future price is the expected price of AnterogenCoLtd instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AnterogenCoLtd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out AnterogenCoLtd Backtesting, AnterogenCoLtd Valuation, AnterogenCoLtd Correlation, AnterogenCoLtd Hype Analysis, AnterogenCoLtd Volatility, AnterogenCoLtd History as well as AnterogenCoLtd Performance.
  
Please specify AnterogenCoLtd's target price for which you would like AnterogenCoLtd odds to be computed.

AnterogenCoLtd Target Price Odds to finish below 15218.92

The tendency of AnterogenCoLtd Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to W 15,219  or more in 90 days
 15,230 90 days 15,219 
about 68.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AnterogenCoLtd to drop to W 15,219  or more in 90 days from now is about 68.98 (This AnterogenCoLtd probability density function shows the probability of AnterogenCoLtd Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AnterogenCoLtd price to stay between W 15,219  and its current price of W15230.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AnterogenCoLtd has a beta of 0.34. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AnterogenCoLtd average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AnterogenCoLtd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AnterogenCoLtd has an alpha of 0.1067, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   AnterogenCoLtd Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AnterogenCoLtd

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AnterogenCoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15,22815,23015,232
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12,53912,54116,753
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16,17816,18016,182
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15,02515,66316,302
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AnterogenCoLtd. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AnterogenCoLtd's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AnterogenCoLtd's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AnterogenCoLtd.

AnterogenCoLtd Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AnterogenCoLtd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AnterogenCoLtd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AnterogenCoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AnterogenCoLtd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.34
σ
Overall volatility
573.75
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

AnterogenCoLtd Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AnterogenCoLtd for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AnterogenCoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AnterogenCoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 8.12 B. Net Loss for the year was (553.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.72 B.
AnterogenCoLtd has accumulated about 6.97 B in cash with (3.05 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 21.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

AnterogenCoLtd Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AnterogenCoLtd Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AnterogenCoLtd's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AnterogenCoLtd's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments59 B

AnterogenCoLtd Technical Analysis

AnterogenCoLtd's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AnterogenCoLtd Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AnterogenCoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing AnterogenCoLtd Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AnterogenCoLtd Predictive Forecast Models

AnterogenCoLtd's time-series forecasting models is one of many AnterogenCoLtd's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AnterogenCoLtd's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AnterogenCoLtd

Checking the ongoing alerts about AnterogenCoLtd for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AnterogenCoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AnterogenCoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 8.12 B. Net Loss for the year was (553.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.72 B.
AnterogenCoLtd has accumulated about 6.97 B in cash with (3.05 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 21.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in AnterogenCoLtd Stock

AnterogenCoLtd financial ratios help investors to determine whether AnterogenCoLtd Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AnterogenCoLtd with respect to the benefits of owning AnterogenCoLtd security.