JW Shinyak (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1351.67

067290 Stock  KRW 1,495  5.00  0.33%   
JW Shinyak's future price is the expected price of JW Shinyak instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of JW Shinyak performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out JW Shinyak Backtesting, JW Shinyak Valuation, JW Shinyak Correlation, JW Shinyak Hype Analysis, JW Shinyak Volatility, JW Shinyak History as well as JW Shinyak Performance.
  
Please specify JW Shinyak's target price for which you would like JW Shinyak odds to be computed.

JW Shinyak Target Price Odds to finish below 1351.67

The tendency of 067290 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to W 1,352  or more in 90 days
 1,495 90 days 1,352 
about 7.41
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JW Shinyak to drop to W 1,352  or more in 90 days from now is about 7.41 (This JW Shinyak probability density function shows the probability of 067290 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JW Shinyak price to stay between W 1,352  and its current price of W1495.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.07 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, JW Shinyak will likely underperform. Additionally JW Shinyak has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   JW Shinyak Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for JW Shinyak

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JW Shinyak. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.004.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.004.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,4461,4511,456
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,3101,4171,525
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as JW Shinyak. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against JW Shinyak's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, JW Shinyak's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in JW Shinyak.

JW Shinyak Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JW Shinyak is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JW Shinyak's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JW Shinyak, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JW Shinyak within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.07
σ
Overall volatility
148.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

JW Shinyak Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JW Shinyak for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JW Shinyak can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JW Shinyak generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
JW Shinyak has high historical volatility and very poor performance
JW Shinyak has accumulated 15.29 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.38, which is about average as compared to similar companies. JW Shinyak has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist JW Shinyak until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, JW Shinyak's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like JW Shinyak sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for 067290 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about JW Shinyak's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 31.0% of JW Shinyak shares are owned by insiders or employees

JW Shinyak Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 067290 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JW Shinyak's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JW Shinyak's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding48.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.5 B

JW Shinyak Technical Analysis

JW Shinyak's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 067290 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JW Shinyak. In general, you should focus on analyzing 067290 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

JW Shinyak Predictive Forecast Models

JW Shinyak's time-series forecasting models is one of many JW Shinyak's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JW Shinyak's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about JW Shinyak

Checking the ongoing alerts about JW Shinyak for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JW Shinyak help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JW Shinyak generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
JW Shinyak has high historical volatility and very poor performance
JW Shinyak has accumulated 15.29 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.38, which is about average as compared to similar companies. JW Shinyak has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist JW Shinyak until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, JW Shinyak's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like JW Shinyak sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for 067290 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about JW Shinyak's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 31.0% of JW Shinyak shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in 067290 Stock

JW Shinyak financial ratios help investors to determine whether 067290 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 067290 with respect to the benefits of owning JW Shinyak security.