HANA Micron (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9,044

067310 Stock  KRW 9,630  210.00  2.13%   
HANA Micron's future price is the expected price of HANA Micron instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of HANA Micron performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out HANA Micron Backtesting, HANA Micron Valuation, HANA Micron Correlation, HANA Micron Hype Analysis, HANA Micron Volatility, HANA Micron History as well as HANA Micron Performance.
  
Please specify HANA Micron's target price for which you would like HANA Micron odds to be computed.

HANA Micron Target Price Odds to finish below 9,044

The tendency of HANA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 9,630 90 days 9,630 
about 6.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HANA Micron to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 6.62 (This HANA Micron probability density function shows the probability of HANA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HANA Micron has a beta of 0.17. This suggests as returns on the market go up, HANA Micron average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding HANA Micron will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally HANA Micron has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   HANA Micron Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for HANA Micron

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HANA Micron. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9,6279,6309,633
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8,6448,64810,593
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9,6159,6189,622
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9,4299,88710,345
Details

HANA Micron Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HANA Micron is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HANA Micron's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HANA Micron, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HANA Micron within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
1,050
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

HANA Micron Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HANA Micron for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HANA Micron can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HANA Micron generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
HANA Micron has high historical volatility and very poor performance
HANA Micron has accumulated 210.25 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.42, which is about average as compared to similar companies. HANA Micron has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist HANA Micron until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, HANA Micron's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like HANA Micron sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for HANA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about HANA Micron's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 22.0% of HANA Micron shares are owned by insiders or employees

HANA Micron Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HANA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HANA Micron's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HANA Micron's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding47.9 M
Dividends Paid7.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments126.6 B
Shares Float28 M

HANA Micron Technical Analysis

HANA Micron's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HANA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HANA Micron. In general, you should focus on analyzing HANA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

HANA Micron Predictive Forecast Models

HANA Micron's time-series forecasting models is one of many HANA Micron's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HANA Micron's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about HANA Micron

Checking the ongoing alerts about HANA Micron for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HANA Micron help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HANA Micron generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
HANA Micron has high historical volatility and very poor performance
HANA Micron has accumulated 210.25 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.42, which is about average as compared to similar companies. HANA Micron has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist HANA Micron until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, HANA Micron's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like HANA Micron sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for HANA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about HANA Micron's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 22.0% of HANA Micron shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in HANA Stock

HANA Micron financial ratios help investors to determine whether HANA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HANA with respect to the benefits of owning HANA Micron security.