Samsung Publishing (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13467.1

068290 Stock   14,530  140.00  0.97%   
Samsung Publishing's future price is the expected price of Samsung Publishing instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Samsung Publishing Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Samsung Publishing Backtesting, Samsung Publishing Valuation, Samsung Publishing Correlation, Samsung Publishing Hype Analysis, Samsung Publishing Volatility, Samsung Publishing History as well as Samsung Publishing Performance.
  
Please specify Samsung Publishing's target price for which you would like Samsung Publishing odds to be computed.

Samsung Publishing Target Price Odds to finish below 13467.1

The tendency of Samsung Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  13,467  or more in 90 days
 14,530 90 days 13,467 
about 6.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Samsung Publishing to drop to  13,467  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.38 (This Samsung Publishing Co probability density function shows the probability of Samsung Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Samsung Publishing price to stay between  13,467  and its current price of 14530.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Samsung Publishing has a beta of 0.43. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Samsung Publishing average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Samsung Publishing Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Samsung Publishing Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Samsung Publishing Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Samsung Publishing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Samsung Publishing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14,52714,53014,533
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12,60912,61315,983
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14,57414,57714,581
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13,35814,09114,824
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Samsung Publishing. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Samsung Publishing's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Samsung Publishing's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Samsung Publishing.

Samsung Publishing Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Samsung Publishing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Samsung Publishing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Samsung Publishing Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Samsung Publishing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.43
σ
Overall volatility
818.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Samsung Publishing Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Samsung Publishing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Samsung Publishing can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Samsung Publishing generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Samsung Publishing has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Samsung Publishing Technical Analysis

Samsung Publishing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Samsung Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Samsung Publishing Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Samsung Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Samsung Publishing Predictive Forecast Models

Samsung Publishing's time-series forecasting models is one of many Samsung Publishing's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Samsung Publishing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Samsung Publishing

Checking the ongoing alerts about Samsung Publishing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Samsung Publishing help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Samsung Publishing generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Samsung Publishing has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Other Information on Investing in Samsung Stock

Samsung Publishing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Samsung Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Samsung with respect to the benefits of owning Samsung Publishing security.