Webzen (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14390.91

069080 Stock  KRW 14,970  40.00  0.27%   
Webzen's future price is the expected price of Webzen instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Webzen Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Webzen Backtesting, Webzen Valuation, Webzen Correlation, Webzen Hype Analysis, Webzen Volatility, Webzen History as well as Webzen Performance.
  
Please specify Webzen's target price for which you would like Webzen odds to be computed.

Webzen Target Price Odds to finish over 14390.91

The tendency of Webzen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above W 14,391  in 90 days
 14,970 90 days 14,391 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Webzen to stay above W 14,391  in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Webzen Inc probability density function shows the probability of Webzen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Webzen Inc price to stay between W 14,391  and its current price of W14970.0 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Webzen Inc has a beta of -0.12. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Webzen are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Webzen Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Webzen Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Webzen Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Webzen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Webzen Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14,96814,97014,972
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13,30313,30616,467
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15,03015,03215,035
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14,94614,98315,021
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Webzen. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Webzen's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Webzen's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Webzen Inc.

Webzen Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Webzen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Webzen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Webzen Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Webzen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
1,161
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Webzen Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Webzen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Webzen Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Webzen Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Webzen Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Webzen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Webzen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Webzen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments264.5 B

Webzen Technical Analysis

Webzen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Webzen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Webzen Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Webzen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Webzen Predictive Forecast Models

Webzen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Webzen's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Webzen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Webzen Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Webzen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Webzen Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Webzen Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Webzen Stock

Webzen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Webzen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Webzen with respect to the benefits of owning Webzen security.