CN MODERN (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.079

07M Stock  EUR 0.09  0  1.09%   
CN MODERN's future price is the expected price of CN MODERN instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CN MODERN DAIRY performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CN MODERN Backtesting, CN MODERN Valuation, CN MODERN Correlation, CN MODERN Hype Analysis, CN MODERN Volatility, CN MODERN History as well as CN MODERN Performance.
  
Please specify CN MODERN's target price for which you would like CN MODERN odds to be computed.

CN MODERN Target Price Odds to finish below 0.079

The tendency of 07M Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.08  or more in 90 days
 0.09 90 days 0.08 
about 10.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CN MODERN to drop to € 0.08  or more in 90 days from now is about 10.47 (This CN MODERN DAIRY probability density function shows the probability of 07M Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CN MODERN DAIRY price to stay between € 0.08  and its current price of €0.0925 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.68 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CN MODERN DAIRY has a beta of -0.36. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CN MODERN are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CN MODERN DAIRY is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CN MODERN DAIRY has an alpha of 0.4655, implying that it can generate a 0.47 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CN MODERN Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CN MODERN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CN MODERN DAIRY. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.093.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.083.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.083.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.090.090.1
Details

CN MODERN Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CN MODERN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CN MODERN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CN MODERN DAIRY, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CN MODERN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.47
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.36
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

CN MODERN Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CN MODERN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CN MODERN DAIRY can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CN MODERN DAIRY has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
CN MODERN DAIRY had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

CN MODERN Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 07M Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CN MODERN's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CN MODERN's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.9 B
Short Long Term Debt2.8 B

CN MODERN Technical Analysis

CN MODERN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 07M Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CN MODERN DAIRY. In general, you should focus on analyzing 07M Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CN MODERN Predictive Forecast Models

CN MODERN's time-series forecasting models is one of many CN MODERN's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CN MODERN's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CN MODERN DAIRY

Checking the ongoing alerts about CN MODERN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CN MODERN DAIRY help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CN MODERN DAIRY has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
CN MODERN DAIRY had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 07M Stock

CN MODERN financial ratios help investors to determine whether 07M Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 07M with respect to the benefits of owning CN MODERN security.