KM (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2956.25

083550 Stock  KRW 2,800  145.00  5.46%   
KM's future price is the expected price of KM instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of KM Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out KM Backtesting, KM Valuation, KM Correlation, KM Hype Analysis, KM Volatility, KM History as well as KM Performance.
  
Please specify KM's target price for which you would like KM odds to be computed.

KM Target Price Odds to finish below 2956.25

The tendency of KM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under W 2,956  after 90 days
 2,800 90 days 2,956 
about 13.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KM to stay under W 2,956  after 90 days from now is about 13.33 (This KM Corporation probability density function shows the probability of KM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KM Corporation price to stay between its current price of W 2,800  and W 2,956  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.43 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KM Corporation has a beta of -0.0761. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding KM are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, KM Corporation is likely to outperform the market. Additionally KM Corporation has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   KM Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for KM

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KM Corporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,7982,8002,802
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,4622,4643,080
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,6162,6182,620
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,7453,0463,347
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as KM. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against KM's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, KM's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in KM Corporation.

KM Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KM is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KM's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KM Corporation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KM within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.39
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
202.00
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

KM Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KM for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KM Corporation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KM Corporation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
KM Corporation has accumulated about 15.56 B in cash with (2.28 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

KM Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KM's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KM's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments25.1 B

KM Technical Analysis

KM's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KM Corporation. In general, you should focus on analyzing KM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

KM Predictive Forecast Models

KM's time-series forecasting models is one of many KM's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KM's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about KM Corporation

Checking the ongoing alerts about KM for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KM Corporation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KM Corporation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
KM Corporation has accumulated about 15.56 B in cash with (2.28 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in KM Stock

KM financial ratios help investors to determine whether KM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KM with respect to the benefits of owning KM security.