Mobile Appliance (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2491.5

087260 Stock   2,125  85.00  3.85%   
Mobile Appliance's future price is the expected price of Mobile Appliance instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mobile Appliance performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mobile Appliance Backtesting, Mobile Appliance Valuation, Mobile Appliance Correlation, Mobile Appliance Hype Analysis, Mobile Appliance Volatility, Mobile Appliance History as well as Mobile Appliance Performance.
  
Please specify Mobile Appliance's target price for which you would like Mobile Appliance odds to be computed.

Mobile Appliance Target Price Odds to finish over 2491.5

The tendency of Mobile Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  2,492  or more in 90 days
 2,125 90 days 2,492 
about 9.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mobile Appliance to move over  2,492  or more in 90 days from now is about 9.2 (This Mobile Appliance probability density function shows the probability of Mobile Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mobile Appliance price to stay between its current price of  2,125  and  2,492  at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.39 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mobile Appliance has a beta of 0.11. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Mobile Appliance average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mobile Appliance will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mobile Appliance has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Mobile Appliance Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mobile Appliance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mobile Appliance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,1212,1252,129
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,8691,8722,338
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,9631,9661,970
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,1502,2442,337
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mobile Appliance. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mobile Appliance's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mobile Appliance's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mobile Appliance.

Mobile Appliance Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mobile Appliance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mobile Appliance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mobile Appliance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mobile Appliance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
161.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Mobile Appliance Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mobile Appliance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mobile Appliance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mobile Appliance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mobile Appliance has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Mobile Appliance Technical Analysis

Mobile Appliance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mobile Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mobile Appliance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mobile Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mobile Appliance Predictive Forecast Models

Mobile Appliance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mobile Appliance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mobile Appliance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mobile Appliance

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mobile Appliance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mobile Appliance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mobile Appliance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mobile Appliance has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Other Information on Investing in Mobile Stock

Mobile Appliance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mobile Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mobile with respect to the benefits of owning Mobile Appliance security.