Hyundai Engineering (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3640.0
089470 Stock | 3,565 30.00 0.83% |
Hyundai |
Hyundai Engineering Target Price Odds to finish over 3640.0
The tendency of Hyundai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 3,640 or more in 90 days |
3,565 | 90 days | 3,640 | about 8.22 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hyundai Engineering to move over 3,640 or more in 90 days from now is about 8.22 (This Hyundai Engineering Plastics probability density function shows the probability of Hyundai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hyundai Engineering price to stay between its current price of 3,565 and 3,640 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hyundai Engineering has a beta of 0.18. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Hyundai Engineering average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hyundai Engineering Plastics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hyundai Engineering Plastics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Hyundai Engineering Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Hyundai Engineering
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hyundai Engineering. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hyundai Engineering Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hyundai Engineering is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hyundai Engineering's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hyundai Engineering Plastics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hyundai Engineering within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 89.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Hyundai Engineering Technical Analysis
Hyundai Engineering's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hyundai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hyundai Engineering Plastics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hyundai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hyundai Engineering Predictive Forecast Models
Hyundai Engineering's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hyundai Engineering's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hyundai Engineering's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Hyundai Engineering in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Hyundai Engineering's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Hyundai Engineering options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Hyundai Stock
Hyundai Engineering financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hyundai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hyundai with respect to the benefits of owning Hyundai Engineering security.