Nasmedia (Korea) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14,166

089600 Stock  KRW 14,280  10.00  0.07%   
Nasmedia's future price is the expected price of Nasmedia instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nasmedia Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nasmedia Backtesting, Nasmedia Valuation, Nasmedia Correlation, Nasmedia Hype Analysis, Nasmedia Volatility, Nasmedia History as well as Nasmedia Performance.
  
Please specify Nasmedia's target price for which you would like Nasmedia odds to be computed.

Nasmedia Target Price Odds to finish below 14,166

The tendency of Nasmedia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 14,280 90 days 14,280 
about 7.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nasmedia to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 7.62 (This Nasmedia Co probability density function shows the probability of Nasmedia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nasmedia Co has a beta of -0.0593. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nasmedia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nasmedia Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nasmedia Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Nasmedia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nasmedia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nasmedia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14,27914,28014,281
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13,61013,61115,708
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14,71714,71814,719
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14,26714,27714,286
Details

Nasmedia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nasmedia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nasmedia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nasmedia Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nasmedia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1,008
Ir
Information ratio -0.31

Nasmedia Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nasmedia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nasmedia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nasmedia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Nasmedia Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nasmedia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nasmedia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nasmedia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.3 M
Dividends Paid6.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments101.5 B
Shares Float3.6 M

Nasmedia Technical Analysis

Nasmedia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nasmedia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nasmedia Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nasmedia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nasmedia Predictive Forecast Models

Nasmedia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nasmedia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nasmedia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nasmedia

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nasmedia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nasmedia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nasmedia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Nasmedia Stock

Nasmedia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nasmedia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nasmedia with respect to the benefits of owning Nasmedia security.