Pyung Hwa (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 899.25

090080 Stock   912.00  7.00  0.77%   
Pyung Hwa's future price is the expected price of Pyung Hwa instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pyung Hwa Industrial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pyung Hwa Backtesting, Pyung Hwa Valuation, Pyung Hwa Correlation, Pyung Hwa Hype Analysis, Pyung Hwa Volatility, Pyung Hwa History as well as Pyung Hwa Performance.
  
Please specify Pyung Hwa's target price for which you would like Pyung Hwa odds to be computed.

Pyung Hwa Target Price Odds to finish below 899.25

The tendency of Pyung Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  899.25  or more in 90 days
 912.00 90 days 899.25 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pyung Hwa to drop to  899.25  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Pyung Hwa Industrial probability density function shows the probability of Pyung Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pyung Hwa Industrial price to stay between  899.25  and its current price of 912.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pyung Hwa Industrial has a beta of -0.14. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pyung Hwa are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pyung Hwa Industrial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pyung Hwa Industrial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Pyung Hwa Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pyung Hwa

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pyung Hwa Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
910.87912.00913.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
790.36791.491,003
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
889.28890.41891.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
868.02962.121,056
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pyung Hwa. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pyung Hwa's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pyung Hwa's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pyung Hwa Industrial.

Pyung Hwa Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pyung Hwa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pyung Hwa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pyung Hwa Industrial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pyung Hwa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
37.84
Ir
Information ratio -0.29

Pyung Hwa Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pyung Hwa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pyung Hwa Industrial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pyung Hwa Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Pyung Hwa Technical Analysis

Pyung Hwa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pyung Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pyung Hwa Industrial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pyung Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pyung Hwa Predictive Forecast Models

Pyung Hwa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pyung Hwa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pyung Hwa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pyung Hwa Industrial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pyung Hwa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pyung Hwa Industrial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pyung Hwa Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Pyung Stock

Pyung Hwa financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pyung Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pyung with respect to the benefits of owning Pyung Hwa security.